The important Research fields in ITS include traffic flow guidance and control. To effectively guide and control the traffic flow, its status must be predicted accurately in real time. Close spatial and temporal associations exist between traffic flow of the road sections and its neighbors in the urban traffic network, traffic state multi-spot time series forecasting is more accuracy than the single ones. In this paper, a predicting model for urban region traffic status is presented by using spatial-temporal data mining technology and autoregressive moving average method. The road network topology and traffic time series datasets of some sections are considered in the predicting model. The model is based on autoregressive moving average method and spatial-temporal association rules. The traffic data from several road sections are used as the sample datasets to verify model's applicability in real time forecasting, and analyze the spatial-temporal association rules of the sections in the urban region traffic network.


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    Title :

    Traffic State Forecast of Road Network Based on Spatial-Temporal Data Mining


    Contributors:
    Deng, Rui (author) / Jiang, Lizhu (author)

    Conference:

    Third International Conference on Transportation Engineering (ICTE) ; 2011 ; Chengdu, China


    Published in:

    ICTE 2011 ; 734-739


    Publication date :

    2011-07-13




    Type of media :

    Conference paper


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    English




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