Transportation Indicators and Business Cycles recognises the important role the transportation sector plays in business cycle propagation and develops indicators for this sector to identify its current state, and predict its future. The reference cycle is defined, including business and growth cycles, for this sector over the period from 1979 using both the conventional National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) method and modern time series models. A one-to-one correspondence between cycles in the transportation sector and those in the aggregate economy is found. It also constructs an index of leading indicators for the transportation sector using rigorous statistical procedures, and performs well as a forecasting tool.


    Access

    Download

    Check availability in my library

    Order at Subito €


    Export, share and cite



    Title :

    Transportation indicators and business cycles


    Contributors:


    Publication date :

    2010


    Size :

    Online-Ressource


    Remarks:

    Campusweiter Zugriff (Universität Hannover) - Vervielfältigungen (z.B. Kopien, Downloads) sind nur von einzelnen Kapiteln oder Seiten und nur zum eigenen wissenschaftlichen Gebrauch erlaubt. Keine Weitergabe an Dritte. Kein systematisches Downloaden durch Robots.




    Type of media :

    Book


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    English



    Classification :

    RVK:    QR 800
    BKL:    55.80 Verkehrswesen, Transportwesen: Allgemeines
    DDC:    388.015195 / 388.049







    Forecasting Business Cycles in U.S. Transportation Sector: Leading-Indicator Approach

    National Research Council (U.S.) | British Library Conference Proceedings | 2005