As transportation systems continue to evolve, the demand for accurate prediction of traffic volume at highway entry and exit areas has become increasingly urgent. This study involves a two-year data collection from entry and exit points at four distinct locations along highways, revealing the distribution patterns of traffic volume across different time periods. By accounting for seasonal and long-term dependencies in time series data, both SARIMA and GRU models were developed. The results demonstrate that the SARIMA model achieved an R2 of 0.7762 and an RMSE of 8.6534, whereas the GRU model attained an R2 of 0.9533 and an RMSE of 3.9545. The GRU model outperforms the SARIMA model in traffic volume prediction tasks, particularly excelling in long-term forecasting. This research provides valuable insights for the future intelligent and precise management of highway traffic systems.


    Zugriff

    Zugriff prüfen

    Verfügbarkeit in meiner Bibliothek prüfen

    Bestellung bei Subito €


    Exportieren, teilen und zitieren



    Titel :

    Traffic volume prediction for highway entry and exit areas based on machine learning


    Beteiligte:
    Feng, Zhengang (Herausgeber:in) / Mikusova, Miroslava (Herausgeber:in) / Qian, Lu (Autor:in) / Chen, Qi (Autor:in) / Dong, Hongxia (Autor:in) / Hao, Yanjun (Autor:in)

    Kongress:

    International Conference on Smart Transportation and City Engineering (STCE 2024) ; 2024 ; Chongqing, China


    Erschienen in:

    Proc. SPIE ; 13575


    Erscheinungsdatum :

    28.04.2025





    Medientyp :

    Aufsatz (Konferenz)


    Format :

    Elektronische Ressource


    Sprache :

    Englisch



    Collaborative prediction method and system for entry and exit traffic flow of highway toll station

    ZHANG YUNFAN / CHAI QINGGANG / DING XIAO'E et al. | Europäisches Patentamt | 2025

    Freier Zugriff

    Highway Shelter Entry and Exit Notification System

    LEE GWANG YOUNG | Europäisches Patentamt | 2018

    Freier Zugriff

    Precursor Systems Analyses of Automated Highway Systems. Entry/Exit Implementation. Volume 7

    W. R. Youngblood / J. D. Leonard / P. S. Parsonson | NTIS | 1995


    Highway Entrance-Exit Spacing in Rapid Urbanization Areas

    Chen, Zhongyi / Xu, Jianwei / Dai, Weiwei et al. | ASCE | 2020


    ENTRY/EXIT MANAGEMENT DEVICE, ENTRY/EXIT MANAGEMENT METHOD AND ENTRY/EXIT MANAGEMENT SYSTEM

    HORIKOSHI TAKAHARU | Europäisches Patentamt | 2020

    Freier Zugriff