The invention relates to a real-time predicting method for arrival time of a bus. The real-time predicting method comprises the following steps: S1, respectively extracting historical floating bus data and historical running time data of a site section between every two adjacent sites as a training set, screening factors influencing the running time of the bus at one site section according to the training set, and respectively constructing support vector regression models of corresponding site sections according to the screened factors; S2, determining site sections contained in a running route between a current site and a target site of the bus, acquiring respective real-time floating bus data and real-time running time data of the site sections as a predicting set, predicting the running time of the bus at the site section by using the support vector regression model according to the predicting set, and obtaining the arrival time of the bus from the current site to the target site according to the predicted running time of the bus at each site on the running route. According to the method provided by the invention, the prediction accuracy of the arrival time of the bus can be improved.
Real-time predicting method for arrival time of bus
20.05.2015
Patent
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
IPC: | G08G Anlagen zur Steuerung, Regelung oder Überwachung des Verkehrs , TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS |
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