In this study, the benefits and trade-off for penetration of electric vehicle (EV) technology in Thai road transportation were analyzed by using offend-use energy demand model. Two vehicle types (motorcycle and passenger car) were considered for possible EV penetration as partial EV, which are hybrid EV (HEV) and plug-in hybrid EV (PEV) and full EV, which is battery EV (BEV). The assumption for EV penetration was derived from Thai government policy target and available technology perspective into four different scenarios, e.g. Business As Usual (BAU), electric motorcycle (eMC), passenger car EV (PcEV) and the extremely case of combined EV penetration in both motorcycle and passenger car. The energy demand model for road transportation from our previous works was constructed using the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP) program. Electricity requirements for charging the EV were considered as the additional electricity demand of annual accumulative electric energy and the level of daily load curve from averaged charging behaviors. The results show that the electricity requirements in all scenarios were still within the buffer level (difference between power generation capacity and forecasted electricity demand without EV consideration) in the Power Development Plan 2010 revision 3 (PDP2010r3). Furthermore, other benefits on reductions of fossil fuel import and Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission were also computed, and discussed in the context of upcoming ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) in 2015.
Scenario Analysis of Electric Vehicle Technology Penetration in Thailand: Comparisons of Required Electricity with Power Development Plan and Projections of Fossil Fuel and Greenhouse Gas Reduction
2013
12 Seiten, 22 Quellen
Conference paper
English
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