This paper presents a practical application of the probabilistic-fuzzy method for assessment of the safety of a ship maneuvering in waterways. The method, based on probabilistic risk analysis and elements of fuzzy logic, takes into account situations of threatened navigational safety and situations when a navigator intuitively thinks that the safety of maneuvering ship is threatened. The probability of grounding a ship maneuvering in a waterway bend is determined by means of simulation method. Then, with the use of experts knowledge and tools of fuzzy logic the probability of a dangerous situation is determined. Two different approaches are applied for the determination of that probability. The results are compared.


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    Title :

    Ship maneuvering in restricted areas: an attempt to quantify dangerous situations using a probabilistic-fuzzy method


    Contributors:

    Published in:

    The Journal of Navigation ; 59 , 2 ; 251-262


    Publication date :

    2006


    Size :

    12 Seiten, 8 Quellen




    Type of media :

    Article (Journal)


    Type of material :

    Print


    Language :

    English





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