Multiple Discrete Continuous Extreme Value (MDCEV) has become popular in the past years. Yet, the model suffers from an ‘empirical identification’ issue that is mainly due to inter-relations between two of its parameters, α and γ. This paper presents a hybrid optimization paradigm (named HELPME) to address this issue in a basic MDCEV formulation and take full advantage of the model by estimating a ‘mixed-profile.’ HELPME benefits from a coarse-to-fine search strategy, in which a customized Electromagnetism-like meta-heuristic precedes a gradient-based approach. The Atlanta Regional Travel Survey (2011) is used to empirically analyze performance of HELPME as well as significance of the accuracy gap between the mixed-profile, and α and γ profiles. As part of the results, it is observed that in-sample fit is significantly improved, percentage error of out-of-sample prediction is reduced up to 97% in a 90% confidence level, and bias of out-of-sample predictions are reduced up to 67%.
Estimating a mixed-profile MDCEV: case of daily activity type and duration
Transportation Letters ; 11 , 6 ; 289-302
2019-07-26
14 pages
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
English
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