Several empirical methods based on the relationship between historical dam failure events and the number of casualty are available for estimating the loss of human lives resulting from dam failure. However, none of the empirical methods can seamlessly predict the number of casualties caused by a dam failure, because the characteristics of dam breach flood, warning time, human response to the warning, understanding of flood severity, and other factors necessary for calculating the number of life loss are not understood clearly. Therefore, the number of life loss predicted by the empirical methods is subjective to uncertainty. Uncertainties in the predicted number of life loss due to dam breach flood are identified in this study by performing uncertainty analyses regarding the dam breach flood routing analysis results and life loss estimations. The uncertainty analyses are conducted using the Monte Carlo simulation based on the Latin Hypercube Sampling technique, and computational programs are developed to carry out the uncertainty analyses. Considerable degree of uncertainty in the predicted number of life loss as well as dam breach flood routing results is revealed through the uncertainty analyses and presented comparatively with the modified boxplots.


    Access

    Check access

    Check availability in my library

    Order at Subito €


    Export, share and cite



    Title :

    Uncertainties in the predicted number of life loss due to the dam breach floods


    Additional title:

    KSCE J Civ Eng


    Contributors:

    Published in:

    Publication date :

    2003-01-01


    Size :

    11 pages




    Type of media :

    Article (Journal)


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    English





    Security breach

    Scoltock,J. | Automotive engineering | 2015


    Overtopping and breaching of dikes – Breach profile and breach flow

    Schmocker, Lukas / Hager, Willi H. | HENRY – Federal Waterways Engineering and Research Institute (BAW) | 2010

    Free access

    Breach security stonewall

    Online Contents | 1993


    Perimeter breach warning system

    BARTH JUSTIN KARL / FERRARA PAUL J / IOTOVA-GAGNAIRE ALBENA et al. | European Patent Office | 2020

    Free access