Abstract In the next few years there is likely to be a large growth of interest in the dynamic modelling of travel behaviour. In order to try to avoid the eventual collapse of enthusiasm which has sometimes occurred with other new developments when they turn out not to provide transport planning with the hoped-for panacea, this paper aims to demonstrate the diversity of approaches which will be required to tackle the subject of dynamics. In particular, it identifies three overlapping but distinct levels at which dynamics interact with travel behaviour — microdynamics, which is concerned with the detailed scheduling of activities and travel within a day — macrodynamic modifiers, whereby changes in medium- and long-term behaviour which are often considered to be instantaneous are in fact subject to important phasing considerations — and macrodynamic processes, which deal with the overriding demographic processes of birth, ageing and death. The paper suggests approaches to the incorporation of these three topics into the forecasting of travel behaviour.


    Access

    Access via TIB

    Check availability in my library

    Order at Subito €


    Export, share and cite



    Title :

    Some issues of dynamics in forecasting travel behaviour — A discussion paper


    Contributors:
    Clarke, Mike (author) / Dix, Martin (author) / Goodwin, Phil (author)

    Published in:

    Publication date :

    1982




    Type of media :

    Article (Journal)


    Type of material :

    Print


    Language :

    English



    Classification :

    BKL:    55.80 Verkehrswesen, Transportwesen: Allgemeines / 74.75 Verkehrsplanung, Verkehrspolitik
    Local classification TIB:    535/7000




    Urban travel forecasting

    National Research Council, Transportation Research Board, USA | TIBKAT | 1987


    Urban Travel Forecasting

    M. Ben-Akiva / D. Bolduc / A. F. W. Han et al. | NTIS | 1987


    Forecasting Travel Time

    Roden, M. B. | British Library Conference Proceedings | 1995


    Forecasting Travel Time

    Roden, David B. | Transportation Research Record | 2019