This paper develops a hybrid choice-latent variable model combined with a Hidden Markov model in order to analyze the causes of aggressive driving and forecast its manifestations accordingly. The model is grounded in the state-trait anger theory; it treats trait driving anger as a latent variable that is expressed as a function of individual characteristics, or as an agent effect, and state anger as a dynamic latent variable that evolves over time and affects driving behavior, and that is expressed as a function of trait anger, frustrating events, and contextual variables (e.g., geometric roadway features, flow conditions, etc.). This model may be used in order to test measures aimed at reducing aggressive driving behavior and improving road safety, and can be incorporated into micro-simulation packages to represent aggressive driving. The paper also presents an application of this model to data obtained from a driving simulator experiment performed at the American University of Beirut. The results derived from this application indicate that state anger at a specific time period is significantly affected by the occurrence of frustrating events, trait anger, and the anger experienced at the previous time period. The proposed model exhibited a better goodness of fit compared to a similar simple joint model where driving behavior and decisions are expressed as a function of the experienced events explicitly and not the dynamic latent variable.


    Access

    Access via TIB

    Check availability in my library

    Order at Subito €


    Export, share and cite



    Title :

    Modeling anger and aggressive driving behavior in a dynamic choice-latent variable model




    Publication date :

    2015




    Type of media :

    Article (Journal)


    Type of material :

    Print


    Language :

    English



    Classification :

    BKL:    44.80 / 44.80 Unfallmedizin, Notfallmedizin / 55.84 / 55.24 / 55.84 Straßenverkehr / 55.24 Fahrzeugführung, Fahrtechnik



    Modeling anger and aggressive driving behavior in a dynamic choice–latent variable model

    Danaf, Mazen / Abou-Zeid, Maya / Kaysi, Isam | Elsevier | 2014


    Forgivingness, anger, and hostility in aggressive driving

    Kovácsová, Natália / Rošková, Eva / Lajunen, Timo | Elsevier | 2013


    Forgivingness, anger, and hostility in aggressive driving

    Kovácsová, Natália | Online Contents | 2014


    The Role of Attributions and Anger in Aggressive Driving Behaviours

    Vallieres, E. F. / Bergeron, J. / Vallerand, R. J. | British Library Conference Proceedings | 2005


    The relationship of bicycle use and aggressive driving behaviour: a latent variable model approach

    Paschalidis, Evangelos / Oikonomou, Alexandros / Konstantinidou, Maria Natalia et al. | Taylor & Francis Verlag | 2023

    Free access