Human capital planning in the federal sector relies upon past losses to estimate future turnover. Since the historical loss rate is a lagging indicator, an alternative estimate of future turnover might be derived from information about employee intent-to-leave. However, results from studies of the relationship between intent-to-leave and actual behavior have been mixed. Given the conflicting research findings, we investigated the correspondence between intent-to-leave and actual aggregate turnover rates in the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). Data describing intent-to-leave in the next 12 months were obtained in Employee Attitude Surveys of employees in the last quarters of fiscal years 1997, 2000, and 2003. Actual turnover rates for the following fiscal years (FY1998, 2001, 2004) were calculated from data extracted from the Agency's official system of personnel records. The proportions of employees indicating intent-to-leave on each survey were compared with actual turnover using a Z-test of proportions.
Comparison of Intent-to-Leave With Actual Turnover Within the FAA
2006
10 pages
Report
No indication
English
Air Transportation , Personnel Management, Labor Relations & Manpower , Public Administration & Government , Air transportation , Human resources management , Employees , Federal agencies , Employee relations , Attitudes(Psychology) , Personnel management , Employment , Surveys , Federal Aviation Administration(FAA) , Employee Attitude Survey