Highlights The paper investigates the associations between real-time mobility and safety metrics. Trajectory data collected from autonomous vehicles (AVs) is utilized in a multi-site Bayesian analysis. The proposed safety assessment method uses Bayesian hierarchical spatial random parameter extreme value model (BHSRP). The model can handle the limited availability and uneven distribution of conflict data and accounts for unobserved spatial heterogeneity. Mobility LOS E represented the most hazardous condition for vehicle safety. The generated insights can enable safety-mobility conscious road networks design and planning.
Abstract The study presents a real-time safety and mobility assessment approach using data generated by autonomous vehicles (AVs). The proposed safety assessment method uses Bayesian hierarchical spatial random parameter extreme value model (BHSRP), which can handle the limited availability and uneven distribution of conflict data and accounts for unobserved spatial heterogeneity. The approach estimates two real-time safety metrics: the risk of crash (RC) and return level (RL), using Time-To-Collision (TTC) as conflict indicator. Additionally, a Risk Exposure (RE) index was developed to reflect the risk of an individual vehicle to travel through a corridor. In parallel, the mobility of corridor were assessed based on the highway Capacity manual methodology using real-time traffic data (). The study used a 440-hour AVs’ dataset of a corridor in Palo Alto, California. After normalizing for each LOS representation in the dataset, LOS E was identified as the most hazardous operating condition with the highest average crash risk. However, the time spent under different operating condition would affect the safety of individual vehicles traveling through a road facility (i.e., vehicle’s exposure time). Accounting for exposure time, the vehicle has the highest chance of encountering an extremely risky driving condition at intersections and segments under LOS D and E, respectively.
Real-time combined safety-mobility assessment using self-driving vehicles collected data
2024-02-18
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
English