Highlights Investors generally react positively to production resumptions amid COVID-19. Early production resumption seen as riskier by investors amid COVID-19. Local COVID-19 cases exacerbate investor concerns of early production resumption. High debt pressure renders investors favor early production resumption. Disruption management mindset needs reassessment to consider risk in recovery.
Abstract The speed of recovery from supply chain disruption has been identified as the predominant factor in building a resilient supply chain. However, COVID-19 as an example of an evolving crisis may challenge this assumption. Infection risk concerns may influence production resumption decision-making because any incidents of infection may lead to further shutdowns of production lines and undermine firms’ long-term cash flows. Sampling 244 production resumption announcements by Chinese manufacturers in the early COVID-19 crisis (February–March 2020), our analysis shows that, generally, investors react positively to production resumptions. However, investors perceived the earlier production resumptions were higher risk (indicated by declined stock price). Such concerns were exacerbated by more locally confirmed cases of COVID-19 but were less salient for manufacturers with high debts (liquidity pressure). This study calls for a reassessment of the current disruption management mindset in response to new evolving crises (e.g., COVID-19) and provides theoretical, practical, and policy implications for building resilient supply chains.
Supply chain disruption recovery in the evolving crisis—Evidence from the early COVID-19 outbreak in China
2023-06-06
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
English
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