Based on the application situation of the representative prediction models and the present situation of China pavement maintenance and management (PMM), a new pavement performance prediction method is developed combining Grey System Prediction (GSP) model with Markov Probability Prediction (MPP) model. A simplified method of calculating transfer-probability matrix is proposed. Finally the pavement performance prediction of one expressway section in Sichuan province of China is studied as a case. The results prove the method and model is effective and practicable.


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    Title :

    A Method of Expressway Pavement Performance Prediction


    Contributors:
    Mao, Min (author) / Yu, Xiang (author)

    Conference:

    Second International Conference on Transportation Engineering ; 2009 ; Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China



    Publication date :

    2009-07-29




    Type of media :

    Conference paper


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    English




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