The objective of this research is to develop a dynamic model to forecast multi-interval path travel times between bus stops of origin and destination. The research also intends to test the proposed model using real-world data. This research was brought about by the shortcomings of the existing real-time based short-term-prediction models, which have been widely utilised for single interval predictions. The developed model is based on the Nearest Neighbour Non-Parametric Regression using historical and current data collected by the Automatic Vehicle Location technology. In a test with real-world bus data in Seoul, Korea, the proposed multi-interval-prediction model performed effectively in terms of both prediction accuracy and computing time.
Dynamic multi-interval bus travel time prediction using bus transit data
Transportmetrica ; 6 , 1 ; 19-38
2010-01-01
20 pages
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Unbekannt
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