The objective of this research is to develop a dynamic model to forecast multi-interval path travel times between bus stops of origin and destination. The research also intends to test the proposed model using real-world data. This research was brought about by the shortcomings of the existing real-time based short-term-prediction models, which have been widely utilised for single interval predictions. The developed model is based on the Nearest Neighbour Non-Parametric Regression using historical and current data collected by the Automatic Vehicle Location technology. In a test with real-world bus data in Seoul, Korea, the proposed multi-interval-prediction model performed effectively in terms of both prediction accuracy and computing time.


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    Titel :

    Dynamic multi-interval bus travel time prediction using bus transit data


    Beteiligte:
    Chang, Hyunho (Autor:in) / Park, Dongjoo (Autor:in) / Lee, Seungjae (Autor:in) / Lee, Hosang (Autor:in) / Baek, Seungkirl (Autor:in)

    Erschienen in:

    Transportmetrica ; 6 , 1 ; 19-38


    Erscheinungsdatum :

    2010-01-01


    Format / Umfang :

    20 pages




    Medientyp :

    Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)


    Format :

    Elektronische Ressource


    Sprache :

    Unbekannt





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