This volume describes a risk analysis performed to help identify important Automated Highway System (AHS) deployment uncertainties and quantify their effect on costs and benefits for a range of AHS deployment scenarios. The analysis identified a suite of key factors affecting vehicle and roadway costs, capacities and market penetrations for alternative AHS deployment scenarios. A systematic protocol was utilized for obtaining expert judgements of key factor uncertainties in the form of subjective percentile assessments. Based on these assessments, probability distributions on vehicle and roadway costs, capacity and market penetration were developed for the different scenarios. The cost/benefit risk methodology and analysis provide insights by showing how uncertainties in key factor translate into uncertainties in summary cost/benefit indices. This is Volume 5 of six volumes.
Precursor Systems Analyses of Automated Highway Systems. Activity Area P. Preliminary Cost/Benefit Factors Analysis. Volume 5. Analysis of Automated Highway System Risks and Uncertainties
1995
52 pages
Report
Keine Angabe
Englisch
Road Transportation , Transportation & Traffic Planning , Transportation , Highway Engineering , Automatic traffic control , Automatic highways , Highway design , Cost analysis , Life cycle costs , Automatic transportation systems , Automatic routing , Cost estimates , System failures , Risk assessment , Traffic management , Systems analysis , Highway transportation , Market research , Automated Highway Systems Precursor Systems Analysis , Intelligent Vehicle Highway Systems