A sample of approximately 140,000 records of licensed California drivers containing information on age, gender, and driving record variables was examined. The goal of this paper was to assess the accuracy of predicting future accident risk using various combinations of demographic and prior driving record variables as predictors in 17 regression models. It was concluded that if the goal of driver record adjudication systems is to identify and apply sanctions to high-risk drivers in order to intervene before this risk is realized, then the results presented in this report in this report support the current point-count strategy which attempts to optimize the identification of drivers having a high probability of subsequent accident involvement.


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    Titel :

    Strategies for Estimating Driver Accident Risk in Relation to California's Negligent-Operator Point System


    Beteiligte:
    M. A. Gebers (Autor:in)

    Erscheinungsdatum :

    1999


    Format / Umfang :

    78 pages


    Medientyp :

    Report


    Format :

    Keine Angabe


    Sprache :

    Englisch





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