The effect of changes in fuel prices on the amount of motorized traffic has been estimated by analyzing the monthly national traffic counts categorized into cars, vans (less than or equal to 1.5 tons unladen), other goods vehicles, and all vehicles combined. The period covered (1972 to 1978) includes the time of the large fuel price increases which followed the oil crisis of 1974. Consistent and significant elasticities of vehicle-kilometers traveled per licensed vehicle relative to petrol price were obtained in the range -0.10 to -0.17 for cars and for all traffic combined. This means that if real fuel prices increase by 1 per cent there is a decrease in vehicle kilometers per licensed vehicle of between 0.10 and 0.17 per cent. For vans the results were not so consistent, with one method of analysis giving a similar petrol elasticity to that of cars and all vehicles, while a second method produced non-significant results. The price of diesel fuel rather than petrol was used for analysis of heavy goods vehicles, the elasticity was not significantly different from zero at +0.05 plus or minus 0.10. (Copyright (c) Crown Copyright 1980.)
Effect of Fuel Prices on Traffic
1980
16 pages
Report
Keine Angabe
Englisch
Effect of fuel prices on traffic
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