The report presents projections of transportation activities to 1985, 1995 and 2000 for three economic scenarios. These projections were made using The Department of Transportation (DOT) Long-Range Forecast Model developed for DOT. The transportation activity projections cover the 31 for-hire and private modes of the model. The scenarios are described in terms of economic growth, transportation policies and energy policies. The transportation submodel produces projections of domestic intercity freight flows for 48 commodity groups for all modes expressed in tons, ton-miles, and revenues. The modal split in these projections changes with time and with changes in relative modal costs. An energy efficiency submodel calculates fuel use by each mode in response to changes in fuel prices. Changes in fuel prices are translated into changes in relative modal costs, which affect the modal split for freight. Other changes in relative modal costs may be specified as inputs to the model.
Transportation Projections, 1985, 1995, 2000
1980
150 pages
Report
Keine Angabe
Englisch
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