Adjustment factors needed to contemporize World War Il-based hit probabilities of the SHIPCAS casualty projection model were investigated. Subject Matter Experts provided quantitive responses corresponding to the perceived shifts in hit probability associated with each present-day weapon system when compared to the baseline hit rate. The largest projected increases in hit probability were associated with submarine-launched guided missiles and submarine launched torpedos with passive homing systems. Hit probabilities associated with individual weapon system% ranged from a 90% decrease to a 233% increase when compared to WWII ship hit likelihood. Empirical data also indicated that ship hit likelihood decreased with distance from land objective.


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    Titel :

    Shipboard Casualty Forecasting: Adjustments to Ship Hit Probabilities


    Beteiligte:
    C. G. Blood (Autor:in) / J. S. Marks (Autor:in) / M. S. Odowick (Autor:in)

    Erscheinungsdatum :

    1996


    Format / Umfang :

    34 pages


    Medientyp :

    Report


    Format :

    Keine Angabe


    Sprache :

    Englisch





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