This report provides an evaluation of the Oregon Department of Transportation-Driver and Motor Vehicle (DMV) Services Driver Improvement Program (DIP), which was substantially changed in 2002. Prior to 2002, the DIP was organized around four progressive steps involving advisory letters, warning letters, probation, and suspension. The current program is organized around two steps: restriction and suspension. The timeline to the steps in the current program have also been shortened. To evaluate the current program, driver records of persons suspended between January and July of 2004 were examined in relation to a sample of Oregons driving population. The incidence of crashes and traffic offense convictions of DIP subjects in the 18-month period prior to suspension was compared to the incidence of these events among the driving population. A similar comparison was also made for the 18-month period following suspension. A substantial reduction in the relative incidence of crashes and convictions among DIP subjects following suspension was observed. This finding is subject to the effects of regression-to-the-mean. An approximation of regression-to-the-mean effects was made based on prior evaluations of Oregons DIP that employed a true experimental design. A regression analysis was also undertaken using driver record information from the period prior to suspension to estimate the likelihood of post-suspension crash and traffic offense conviction involvement.
Evaluation of the Oregon DMV Driver Improvement Program
2007
120 pages
Report
Keine Angabe
Englisch
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