The United States continues to be drawn into complex conflict environments where multiple internal and external state and non-state actors (NSAs) compete for influence. This thesis seeks to address how an external state actor can establish influence in a civil war environment through effective support of non-state actors. The research question is addressed through an in-depth analysis of the Lebanese Civil War from 1975 to 1990, using both qualitative and social network analysis to assess the strategies of three state actors in that conflict: Israel, Syria, and Iran. This study suggests that external state actors can increase influence in a civil war environment through a variety of strategies. However, the most dominant state actors are typically those that pursue a limited objective through a combination of direct and indirect support to a heterogeneous coalition of non-state actors employing a combination of violent and nonviolent techniques. The lessons obtained from this analysis may provide valuable insights to planners tasked with the development of influence within a civil war through external support to NSAs.
Civil Wars Hijacked: A Case Study of the Lebanese Civil War
2016
143 pages
Report
Keine Angabe
Englisch
Military Intelligence , Case studies , Culture (social sciences) , Civil war , Unconventional warfare , International organizations , Terrorists , Agreements , Contingency operations (military) , Military training , National security , Cold war , Lessons learned , Social networks , Treaties , Lebanese civil war , Syria , Iran , Israel , Nsas(non-state actors) , Surrogate warfare , Proxy warfare , Longitudinal social network analysis
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