This paper presents a stochastic, model predictive control (MPC) algorithm that leverages short-term probabilistic forecasts for dispatching and rebalancing Autonomous Mobility-on-Demand systems (AMoD), i.e. fleets of self-driving vehicles. We first present the core stochastic optimization problem in terms of a time-expanded network flow model. Then, to ameliorate its tractability, we present two key relaxations. First, we replace the original stochastic problem with a Sample Average Approximation, and provide its performance guarantees. Second, we divide the controller into two submodules. The first submodule assigns vehicles to existing customers and the second redistributes vacant vehicles throughout the city. This enables the problem to be solved as two totally unimodular linear programs, allowing the controller to scale to large problem sizes. Finally, we test the proposed algorithm in two scenarios based on real data and show that it outperforms prior state-of-the-art algorithms. In particular, in a simulation using customer data from the ridesharing company DiDi Chuxing, the algorithm presented here exhibits a 62.3 percent reduction in customer waiting time compared to state of the art non-stochastic algorithms.
Stochastic Model Predictive Control for Autonomous Mobility on Demand
2018-11-01
565048 byte
Aufsatz (Konferenz)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
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