A prediction modeling system, method and computer program product for implementing forecasting models that involve numerous measurement locations, e.g., urban occupancy traffic data. The method invokes a data volatility reduction technique based on computing a congestion threshold for each prediction location, and using that threshold in a filtering scheme. Through the use of calibration, and by obtaining an extremal or other specified solution (e.g., maximization) of empirical volume-occupancy curves as a function of the occupancy level, significant accuracy gains are achieved and at virtually no loss of important information to the end user. The calibration use quantile regression to deal with the asymmetry and scatter of the empirical data. The argmax of each empirical function is used in a unidimensional projection to essentially filter all fully congested occupancy level and treat them as a single state.


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    Titel :

    Performing-time-series based predictions with projection thresholds using secondary time-series-based information stream


    Beteiligte:

    Erscheinungsdatum :

    2016-07-12


    Medientyp :

    Patent


    Format :

    Elektronische Ressource


    Sprache :

    Englisch


    Klassifikation :

    IPC:    G06F ELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING , Elektrische digitale Datenverarbeitung / G06G Analogrechner , ANALOGUE COMPUTERS / G08G Anlagen zur Steuerung, Regelung oder Überwachung des Verkehrs , TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS



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