The invention discloses an urban rail transit emergency influence prediction method, system and product, and relates to the technical field of urban rail transit management and control, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining a historical training data set; training the Bayesian network by using the historical training data set to obtain an emergency influence prediction model based on the Bayesian network; and inputting the starting time of the emergency to be predicted, the weather condition to be predicted, the line condition to be predicted and the fault mode to be predicted into the emergency influence prediction model based on the Bayesian network to obtain the influence time and the influence range of the emergency. According to the method, the influence time and the influence range of the emergency can be automatically predicted by utilizing the computer under the condition that the emergency occurs by utilizing the historical data of the rail transit.

    本发明公开一种城市轨道交通突发事件影响预测方法、系统及产品,涉及城市轨道交通管理与控制技术领域,包括:获取历史训练数据集;利用历史训练数据集对贝叶斯网络进行训练,得到基于贝叶斯网络的突发事件影响预测模型;将待预测的突发事件开始时间、待预测的天气状况、待预测的线路状况和待预测的故障模式输入基于贝叶斯网络的突发事件影响预测模型中,得到突发事件的影响时间和影响范围。本发明能够利用轨道交通历史数据,在出现突发事件的情况下,利用计算机自动预测突发事件的影响时间和影响范围。


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    Titel :

    Urban rail transit emergency influence prediction method, system and product


    Weitere Titelangaben:

    一种城市轨道交通突发事件影响预测方法、系统及产品


    Beteiligte:
    CHEN XING (Autor:in) / YIN JIATENG (Autor:in) / FAN LIQIAN (Autor:in) / CHAI SIMIN (Autor:in) / ZHANG JINLEI (Autor:in) / YANG LIXING (Autor:in)

    Erscheinungsdatum :

    2023-04-07


    Medientyp :

    Patent


    Format :

    Elektronische Ressource


    Sprache :

    Chinesisch


    Klassifikation :

    IPC:    G08G Anlagen zur Steuerung, Regelung oder Überwachung des Verkehrs , TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS / G06N COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS , Rechnersysteme, basierend auf spezifischen Rechenmodellen



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