Abstract Until recently, short-term prediction of earthquakes with answers to the main triad of questions (When? Where? What magnitude?) was considered to be an unsolvable problem. And if for the forecast of place and energy (or magnitude) a number of empirical regularities confirmed with theoretical models were set, but the principal possibility of short-term forecast of the time (a period from several days to months) of the beginning of earthquakes was denied by most professionals. To answer the first question of the main triad of forecast there were not reliable empirical regularities and model approaches. This was due to a flashing character in time and mosaic manifestation in the space of many types of earthquake precursors of different geophysical nature and ambiguity of their interpretations. However, the development of Internet technologies and means of ground and space monitoring of different environmental parameters have allowed in real-time to obtain, compare and analyze various anomalies in the Geosphere shells of the Earth: the magnetosphere, the ionosphere, atmosphere, lithosphere and deep layers of the Earth. This has led to a breakthrough in solving the main problems of Geophysics: short-term prediction of strong earthquakes.
Highlights The empirical scheme for short-term forecast of earthquakes. The specificity of the prediction of tectonic events in special cases. Seismic activities are most apparent near the critical latitudes of the Earth. The connection between accidents in mines and critical latitudes or special dates.
Seismotectonics and ground–space monitoring of natural disasters precursors in the Earth
Acta Astronautica ; 109 ; 254-263
2014-09-26
10 pages
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
Seismotectonics and ground–space monitoring of natural disasters precursors in the Earth
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