Highlights Techno-economic analyses show competitiveness of battery and fuel cell cars. Long-term invest similar for many concepts, including plug-ins and range extenders. Total cost of ownership of battery and fuel cell cars is below conventional ones. Break-even of battery cars is already possible in the second half of this decade. Cost increase for conventional cars is primarily caused by rising fuel costs.

    Abstract For passenger cars, various powertrains compete in terms of reducing environmentally-harmful emissions, smooth integration into future energy systems and economic performance. Developing a sound long-term projection of the total cost of ownership (TCO), however, remains challenging. Highlights of our present assessment, include a detailed, component-based manufacturing and operating cost analysis, as well as simulation-based component scaling and fuel consumption analysis. We apply this methodology to eight passenger car concepts based on batteries, fuel cells and combustion engines, spanning four passenger car segments and five different market development scenarios through 2050. With respect to the TCO, our analysis reveals that fully-electric powertrains utilizing batteries (BEVs) and fuel cells (FCEVs) offer the lowest-cost solutions. FCEVs exhibit small but robust benefits compared to BEVs. BEVs will undergo the earliest break-even point with internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs), already before 2030. Different market development scenarios would not significantly affect the long-term results.


    Zugriff

    Zugriff prüfen

    Verfügbarkeit in meiner Bibliothek prüfen

    Bestellung bei Subito €


    Exportieren, teilen und zitieren



    Titel :

    Passenger car cost development through 2050


    Beteiligte:
    Grube, Thomas (Autor:in) / Kraus, Stefan (Autor:in) / Reul, Julian (Autor:in) / Stolten, Detlef (Autor:in)


    Erscheinungsdatum :

    2021-01-01




    Medientyp :

    Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)


    Format :

    Elektronische Ressource


    Sprache :

    Englisch




    Analysis of Passenger Car Tailpipe Emissions in Different World Regions through 2050

    Murat Senzeybek / Mario Feinauer / Isheeka Dasgupta et al. | DOAJ | 2024

    Freier Zugriff

    Global Urban Passenger Travel Demand and CO2Emissions to 2050: New Model

    Chen, Guineng / Kauppila, Jari | Transportation Research Record | 2017


    Market penetration analysis of hydrogen vehicles in Norwegian passenger transport towards 2050

    Rosenberg, Eva / Fidje, Audun / Espegren, Kari Aamodt et al. | Tema Archiv | 2010


    Weltkulturerbe 2050

    Brinkmann, Ulrich | Online Contents | 2018


    Perspektiven 2050

    Weidmann, Ulrich | TIB AV-Portal | 2013