This study presents a carbon dioxide (CO2), exhaust particulate matter (PM2.5) and nitrogen oxide (NOx) tailpipe emission analysis of passenger cars in nine countries, representing different world regions up to 2050 using a bottom-up calculation method. A diffusion model is used to analyze the development of different drivetrain/fuel technologies in the respective vehicle stocks of each world region. Drivetrain- and country-specific emission factors are weighted according to the modelled stock compositions. The obtained stock fleets’ average emission factors are multiplied by the transport demand in order to obtain the total passenger car emissions. Our findings reveal global passenger car CO2, NOx and PM2.5 emissions decrease by approximately 45%, 63% and 54%, respectively, between 2015 and 2050. Gasoline will remain a significant energy carrier in 2050 with about a 25% stock share. However, electric vehicles will be in the lead, especially after 2040. Additionally, rising transport demand offsets emission reductions in some regions. This study aims to provide global and regional insights into future emissions trends and their driving factors.


    Zugriff

    Download


    Exportieren, teilen und zitieren



    Titel :

    Analysis of Passenger Car Tailpipe Emissions in Different World Regions through 2050


    Beteiligte:


    Erscheinungsdatum :

    2024




    Medientyp :

    Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)


    Format :

    Elektronische Ressource


    Sprache :

    Unbekannt




    Comparing different approaches for estimating tailpipe emissions in passenger cars

    Fernandes, Paulo / Ferreira, Elisabete / Amorim, Paulo et al. | BASE | 2022

    Freier Zugriff

    Tailpipe emission from petrol driven passenger cars

    Pandey, Abhinav | Online Contents | 2016


    Tailpipe emission from petrol driven passenger cars

    Pandey, Abhinav / Pandey, Govind / Mishra, Rajeev Kumar | Elsevier | 2016


    The Effect of Passenger Car Motor Oil Detergent System on Vehicle Tailpipe Emissions

    Wilk, M. A. / Society of Automotive Engineers | British Library Conference Proceedings | 1999


    Passenger car cost development through 2050

    Grube, Thomas / Kraus, Stefan / Reul, Julian et al. | Elsevier | 2021