Abstract Both the Federal government and individual state governments in the US establish long-term road fatality targets to plan and evaluate the effectiveness of their respective safety programs. The purpose of this paper is to develop a simple fatality projection model to project future fatality rates and number of fatalities through 2020 and 2030 for individual states. And then, long-term fatality target value established by ten selected states will be compared to our projected values to assess realism of these targets. Based on the results of this study, several policy recommendations to accelerate reduction of road fatality are made.

    Highlights We project the number of road fatalities in 2030 for 50 states in the US. Percentage change in projected fatality rate varies from −43% to +15.1%. Percentage change in projected number of fatalities varies from −11.5% to +52.9%. Projected numbers of fatalities in 2030 are much higher than the targets by ten states. A set of policy recommendations are made to accelerate improvement of road safety.


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    Titel :

    Comparative analysis of long-term road fatality targets for individual states in the US—An application of experience curve models


    Beteiligte:
    Chang, Yu Sang (Autor:in)

    Erschienen in:

    Transport Policy ; 36 ; 53-69


    Erscheinungsdatum :

    2014-01-01


    Format / Umfang :

    17 pages




    Medientyp :

    Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)


    Format :

    Elektronische Ressource


    Sprache :

    Englisch