Highlights Network Kriging model improves transit ridership prediction. Ridership is positively related to population and income in the neighborhood. Retail employment has a strong impact on transit ridership. Stations serving scenic spots tend to have higher ridership. Connection to other lines and other transportation modes increases ridership.
Abstract An attractive topic in transportation practice is transit ridership estimation. Reliable estimates are beneficial to spatial structuring, facility design, and vehicle operation, as well as financial and labor management. Traditional ridership estimation approaches mainly rely on regression models that consider subway fares, population, and employment distribution in surrounding areas. Yet consideration of ridership’s spatial dependency is largely lacking in these models. This paper recognizes the spatial effect by estimating the ridership of the new Second Avenue Subway in New York City using a network Kriging method. Network distance, instead of Euclidean distance, is used to reflect the fact that subway stations are only connected by subway tunnels. Results show that the new service should effectively relieve the traffic burden on other currently crowded subway lines.
Transit ridership estimation with network Kriging: a case study of Second Avenue Subway, NYC
Journal of Transport Geography ; 41 ; 107-115
2014-01-01
9 pages
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
Transit ridership estimation with network Kriging: a case study of Second Avenue Subway, NYC
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