Abstract This study delves into the factors that contribute to the severity of single-vehicle crashes, focusing on enhancing both computational speed and model robustness. Utilizing a mixed logit model with heterogeneity in means and variances, we offer a comprehensive understanding of the complexities surrounding crash severity. The analysis is grounded in a dataset of 39,788 crash records from the UK’s STATS19 database, which includes variables such as road type, speed limits, and lighting conditions. A comparative evaluation of estimation methods, including pseudo-random, Halton, and scrambled and randomized Halton sequences, demonstrates the superior performance of the latter. Specifically, our estimation approach excels in goodness-of-fit, as measured by , and in minimizing the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), all while optimizing computational resources like run time and memory usage. This strategic efficiency enables more thorough and credible analyses, rendering our model a robust tool for understanding crash severity. Policymakers and researchers will find this study valuable for crafting data-driven interventions aimed at reducing road crash severity.
Highlights Mixed logit model with heterogeneity in means and variance for crash analysis. Scrambled and random Halton sequences optimize estimation accuracy. Study achieves robustness and efficiency in crash severity modeling.
Efficient and robust estimation of single-vehicle crash severity: A mixed logit model with heterogeneity in means and variances
2023-12-23
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
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