In the German project Traffic Development and the Environment an advanced model chain was built up that includes traffic models, fleet composition developments, new driving technologies, and emission factors in order to produce spatio-temporal emission distributions for use in at-mospheric chemistry transport models. This novel model chain was first used to calculate current day traffic emissions in Germany and then to develop consistent future scenarios for 2040. In all scenarios, NOx emissions from traffic decrease by approximately 80% while PM emissions show a lower reduction. The scenarios Free Play, which is based on a free market economics logic, and Regulated Shift, which considers stricter environmental regulations, represent large differences in traffic emissions. NOx emissions will be 32% lower and PM emissions 13% lower in the Regulated Shift scenario compared to the Free Play. The data can be combined with other anthropogenic emissions for investigating air quality with chemistry transport models.


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    Titel :

    Modelling road transport emissions in Germany – Current day situation and scenarios for 2040


    Beteiligte:
    Matthias, Volker (Autor:in) / Bieser, Johannes (Autor:in) / Mocanu, Tudor (Autor:in) / Pregger, Thomas (Autor:in) / Quante, Markus (Autor:in) / Ramacher, Martin (Autor:in) / Seum, Stefan (Autor:in) / Winkler, Christian (Autor:in)


    Erscheinungsdatum :

    2020



    Medientyp :

    Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)


    Format :

    Elektronische Ressource


    Sprache :

    Englisch




    Modelling road transport emissions in Germany – Current day situation and scenarios for 2040

    Matthias, Volker / Bieser, Johannes / Mocanu, Tudor et al. | Elsevier | 2020


    German and European Ground-Transport Emissions in three different scenarios until 2040

    Seum, Stefan / Bieser, Johannes / Ehrenberger, Simone et al. | Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR) | 2018

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    Guided transport in 2040

    European Conference of Ministers of Transport | TIBKAT | 1992


    Guided transport in 2040

    European Conference of Ministers of Transport | SLUB | 1992