Transport sector models help provide strategic information for the future development of the transportation sector. Such long-term scenarios are typically challenged by uncertainties. Moreover, certain trends, such as the transition to zero-emission transportation systems and modal shifts, as well as connected, shared and autonomous vehicles, are already apparent today. Therefore, this paper investigates the impact of these trends on greenhouse gas emissions, as well as their implementation in transport sector modeling thus far. The investigations are structured into the four main parts of transport sector greenhouse gas emission calculation: activity, modal share, energy intensity and fuel carbon intensity. Our analysis of the related effects reveals their importance to the transportation sector of the future. Current models and scenarios widely consider trends such as the modal shift and electrification. However, other trends such as the sharing economy and automated driving are not commonly regarded in the context of transport sector modeling. The coupling of the different types of models and collaboration among researchers from the different fields is recommended for filling this gap.


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    Titel :

    Mobility Trends in Transport Sector Modeling


    Beteiligte:
    Stefan Kraus (Autor:in) / Thomas Grube (Autor:in) / Detlef Stolten (Autor:in)


    Erscheinungsdatum :

    2022




    Medientyp :

    Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)


    Format :

    Elektronische Ressource


    Sprache :

    Unbekannt




    Mobility Trends in Transport Sector Modeling

    Kraus, Stefan / Grube, Thomas / Stolten, Detlef | DataCite | 2022


    Trends in the transport sector

    OECD, International Transport Forum / European Conference of Ministers of Transport | SLUB | 1998-2012


    Trends in the transport sector

    OECD, International Transport Forum / European Conference of Ministers of Transport | SLUB | 1997-2012


    Trends in the transport sector

    TIBKAT | 1970/95(1997)-1970/2010 ; damit Erscheinen eingestellt