Short-term traffic flow forecasting is an important means to solve the traffic congestion aiming at real-time traffic control and inducement. Based on chaos theory, this paper uses simple zero-order local-region method to forecast the short-term traffic flow in an intersection. First, it rebuilds the phase space and determines the delay time parameter. Then it analyzes the traffic volumes of main road in an intersection, chooses the best short-term forecast cycle, predicts the traffic volumes of the next cycle, and evaluates the feasibility of the cycle. Based on the Webster method, this paper also calculates a new signal timing of an intersection to ensure the traffic of main road and reduce delays while evaluating the new program. Finally using an intersection of Jiaozuo city in Henan province as an example, by forecasting its short-term flow, optimizing the timing in the intersection, and comparing the service indicators of new time with old time, we can prove that this method is feasible.


    Zugriff

    Zugriff prüfen

    Verfügbarkeit in meiner Bibliothek prüfen

    Bestellung bei Subito €


    Exportieren, teilen und zitieren



    Titel :

    Research on the Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Method Based on Chaos Theory


    Beteiligte:
    Fu, Yinping (Autor:in) / Wei, Wei (Autor:in)

    Kongress:

    Fourth International Conference on Transportation Engineering ; 2013 ; Chengdu, China


    Erschienen in:

    ICTE 2013 ; 2637-2642


    Erscheinungsdatum :

    09.10.2013




    Medientyp :

    Aufsatz (Konferenz)


    Format :

    Elektronische Ressource


    Sprache :

    Englisch





    The Study of Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Based on Theory of Chaos

    Wang, J. / Shi, Q. / Lu, H. et al. | British Library Conference Proceedings | 2005


    Ship short-term traffic flow fuzzy prediction method based on chaos theory

    CHEN TINGTING / GUO YUNLONG / RUI LEJUN | Europäisches Patentamt | 2020

    Freier Zugriff

    An Applicable Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Method Based on Chaotic Theory

    Hu, J. / Zong, C. / Song, J. et al. | British Library Conference Proceedings | 2003


    An applicable short-term traffic flow forecasting method based on chaotic theory

    Jianming Hu, / Chunguang Zong, / Jingyan Song, et al. | IEEE | 2003