With the increasing concerns on timely arrival, travel time variability, which leads to the uncertainty of arrival time, becomes more important for high-speed rail passengers. This paper mainly focuses on how travel time variability impacts on the transfer mode selection of high-speed rail passengers. The variables that have significant effects on the transfer mode selection were determined, and the transfer mode selection model was presented based on the travel time variability. A stated preference experiment was conducted to collect the high-speed rail passengers' personal properties, transfer time, transfer cost, and their expected transfer modes. Then the model was calibrated with the data collected and the impacts of travel time variability on transfer mode selection were discussed. The results showed that the travel time variability of taxi has the greatest impact on high-speed rail passengers' transfer mode selection. The model proposed can be used for the transfer mode sharing forecasting and provide theoretical basis for the optimization of traffic transfer system.
Transfer Mode Selection of High-Speed Rail Passengers Based on Travel Time Variability
Ninth Asia Pacific Transportation Development Conference ; 2012 ; Chongqing, China
Sustainable Transportation Systems ; 193-200
2012-06-28
Aufsatz (Konferenz)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
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