Based on the application situation of the representative prediction models and the present situation of China pavement maintenance and management (PMM), a new pavement performance prediction method is developed combining Grey System Prediction (GSP) model with Markov Probability Prediction (MPP) model. A simplified method of calculating transfer-probability matrix is proposed. Finally the pavement performance prediction of one expressway section in Sichuan province of China is studied as a case. The results prove the method and model is effective and practicable.
A Method of Expressway Pavement Performance Prediction
Second International Conference on Transportation Engineering ; 2009 ; Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China
2009-07-29
Aufsatz (Konferenz)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
Pavement management , Highways and roads , Information technology (IT) , Transportation management , Markov process , Construction , Freight transportation , China , Highway and road management , Predictions , Water transportation , Air transportation , Rail transportation , Optimization , Public transportation , Traffic management
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