In this paper, two types of incidents, vehicle breakdown and traffic crash, are studied. First, the characteristics of the incidents are analysed. Secondly, the potential factors that may affect incident duration such as vehicle type, incident time, incident location, number of vehicles involved, and incident severity, are discussed. Based on the analysis of the characteristics of the incidents, an incident duration model is developed. This model is based on fuzzy logic theory, which is a promising mathematical approach to model the process characterised by subjectivity, ambiguity, uncertainty, and imprecision, which can be seen in the incident duration. Analysis shows that the incident duration has a Weibull distribution. Although, there is no significant difference in duration between the vehicle breakdown and traffic crash, the factors that affect duration are different. The result shows that fuzzy logic models have good performance to predict the incident duration. It provides a different approachs to analyse the incident duration other than the statistical methods.
A Study of the Characteristics of Traffic Incident Duration on Motorways
International Conference on Traffic and Transportation Studies (ICTTS) 2002 ; 2002 ; Guilin, China
Traffic and Transportation Studies (2002) ; 1101-1108
2002-07-10
Aufsatz (Konferenz)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
A Study of the Characteristics of Traffic Incident Duration on Motorways
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