Accurately predicting train running times (TRTs) during disturbances is crucial for effective timetable rescheduling. Previous studies on train running prediction have overlooked the detailed textual description of disturbance events. To improve the prediction accuracy, this paper proposes a hybrid neural network model consisting of a transformer encoder and a fully connected neural network (FCNN) to predict the TRTs under disturbances, which is called transformer-FCNN here. In the proposed transformer-FCNN architecture, a transformer encoder is used to process textual disturbance events, while FCNN is used to deal with static features. The performance of transformer-FCNN is validated using data from the Wuhan-Guangzhou and Xiamen-Shenzhen high-speed railways. The results show that the models considering the disturbance category can substantially improve the predictive performance compared with those that do not. Further, based on the same algorithm, models which use textual disturbance event records are shown to reduce the mean absolute error and the root mean squared error, respectively, by over 10.8% and 8.3% on average compared with those that only consider the disturbance category. The proposed model can support potential strategies of train operation control, by providing accurate prediction results.


    Zugriff

    Zugriff prüfen

    Verfügbarkeit in meiner Bibliothek prüfen

    Bestellung bei Subito €


    Exportieren, teilen und zitieren



    Titel :

    A Disturbance-Driven Textual Model for Train Running Time Prediction on High-Speed Railways


    Beteiligte:
    Pang, Zishuai (Autor:in) / Wang, Liwen (Autor:in) / Schonfeld, Paul M. (Autor:in) / Liu, Jie (Autor:in) / Peng, Qiyuan (Autor:in) / Li, Li (Autor:in)


    Erscheinungsdatum :

    01.10.2024




    Medientyp :

    Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)


    Format :

    Elektronische Ressource


    Sprache :

    Englisch




    Economic high-speed running of railways

    Jones, S. | Tema Archiv | 1975


    Preparing British railways track for high speed running

    Paterson, A. | Engineering Index Backfile | 1968


    Reasonable Matching Train Speed of Chinese High-Speed Railways

    Bao, Weimin / Yan, Haifeng / Li, Kai et al. | ASCE | 2015


    Emergency Train Scheduling on Chinese High-Speed Railways

    Zheng, Yu-Jun | British Library Online Contents | 2018


    Principles and Processes of Dedicated Passenger Railways' Train Running Scheme

    Li, Yonghui / Chen, Dong / Zhang, Yibin | ASCE | 2011