Uncertainty in aircraft trajectory planning and prediction generates major challenges for the future air traffic management system. Therefore, understanding and managing uncertainty will be necessary to realize improvements in air traffic capacity, safety, efficiency, and environmental impact. Meteorology (in particular, winds) represents one of the most relevant sources of uncertainty. In the present work, a framework based on optimal control is introduced to address the problem of robust and efficient trajectory planning under wind forecast uncertainty, which is modeled with probabilistic forecasts generated by ensemble prediction systems. The proposed methodology is applied to a flight planning scenario under a free-routing operational paradigm and employed to compute trajectories for different sets of user preferences, exploring the trade-off between average flight cost and predictability. Results show how the impact of wind forecast uncertainty in trajectory predictability at a pretactical planning horizon can be not only quantified, but also reduced through the application of the proposed approach.
Robust Aircraft Trajectory Planning Under Wind Uncertainty Using Optimal Control
Journal of Guidance, Control, and Dynamics ; 41 , 3 ; 673-688
2017-10-16
16 pages
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
Robust Aircraft Trajectory Planning Under Wind Uncertainty Using Optimal Control
Online Contents | 2017
|Aircraft trajectory planning under wind uncertainties
IEEE | 2016
|Robust Trajectory Planning for Autonomous Parafoils under Wind Uncertainty (AIAA 2013-4584)
British Library Conference Proceedings | 2013
|