Failure of oil and gas transmission pipelines was analyzed by fault tree analysis in this paper. According to failure modes of pipeline: leakage and rupture, a fault tree of the pipeline was constructed. Fifty-five minimal cut sets of the fault tree had been achieved by qualitative analysis, while the failure probability of top event and the important analyses of basic events were evaluated by quantitative analysis. In conventional fault tree analysis, probabilities of the basic events were treated as precise values, which could not reflect real situation of system because of ambiguity and imprecision of some basic events. In order to overcome this disadvantage, a new method was proposed which combined expert elicitation with fuzzy set theories to evaluate probability of the events. As an example, failure probability of pipeline installation was assessed by using the proposed method, achieving its fuzzy failure probability of 6.4603 X 103. The method given in this article is effective to treat fuzzy events of FTA.


    Zugriff

    Zugriff über TIB

    Verfügbarkeit in meiner Bibliothek prüfen

    Bestellung bei Subito €


    Exportieren, teilen und zitieren



    Titel :

    Estimation of failure probability of oil and gas transmission pipelines by fuzzy fault tree analysis


    Weitere Titelangaben:

    Störfallwahrscheinlichkeit von Ölpipelines und Gaspipelines, ermittelt durch Fuzzy-Fehlerbaumanalyse


    Beteiligte:
    Dong, Yuhua (Autor:in) / Yu, Datao (Autor:in)


    Erscheinungsdatum :

    2005


    Format / Umfang :

    6 Seiten, 2 Bilder, 3 Tabellen, 14 Quellen




    Medientyp :

    Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)


    Format :

    Print


    Sprache :

    Englisch




    Ignition probability for high pressure gas transmission pipelines

    Acton, Michael R. / Baldwin, Philip J. | Tema Archiv | 2009


    Multi-Factor and Polymorphism Failure Probability Calculation for Natural Gas Pipelines

    Yang, Ya-Ping / Hao, Yong-Mei / Xing, Zhi Xiang | Tema Archiv | 2013


    Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis of Railway Traffic Safety

    Huang, Hong-Zhong / Yuan, Xu / Yao, Xin-Sheng | ASCE | 2000


    Fuzzy fault tree analysis of railway traffic safety

    Huang, Hong-Zhong / Yuan, Xu / Yao, Xin-Sheng | Tema Archiv | 2000


    Fuzzy Grey Fault Tree Analysis on Wagon Bogie Reliability

    Li, Yonghua / Liu, H. T. / Gao, Yuehua et al. | Springer Verlag | 2012