A primary motivation of this paper is to draw together, in one source, information on the nature, extent and performance of Australia's evolving toll road network which is currently spread across many disparate published and unpublished sources. This paper provides key information (e.g. length, toll rates, year opened, operator(s) and payment alternatives) on all of the fully interoperable toll roads in Australia that are present in Sydney (e.g. the M2, M4, M5, etc.), Melbourne (CityLink and EastLink) and Brisbane (the Gateway Bridge, the Logan Motorway and the Gateway Extension). Where available, we compare and discuss actual traffic levels and forecasts, revealing the sizeable gap or ‘error’ in forecasts, especially during the first year of operation. Ordinary least squares regression and panel random effects regression models are developed to identify potential sources of explanation of differences in error forecasts between the Australian toll roads at various points post the opening date. A separate analysis of a sample of toll roads in the USA was also undertaken that supports the main findings from the Australian toll road network. Key influences on errors in forecasts are the capacity of a toll road, the elapsed time that the toll road has been in place, the specific period of time in which a tolled road is introduced into the network (which influences the complexity of route options including multiple tolled routes and hence toll saturation), the length of the tolled route, the presence of cash payment and the charging regime (i.e. fixed vs. distance‐based or variable user tolls).


    Zugriff

    Zugriff prüfen

    Verfügbarkeit in meiner Bibliothek prüfen

    Bestellung bei Subito €


    Exportieren, teilen und zitieren



    Titel :

    Toll Roads in Australia: An Overview of Characteristics and Accuracy of Demand Forecasts


    Beteiligte:
    Li, Zheng (Autor:in) / Hensher, David A. (Autor:in)

    Erschienen in:

    Transport Reviews ; 30 , 5 ; 541-569


    Erscheinungsdatum :

    2010-09-01


    Format / Umfang :

    29 pages




    Medientyp :

    Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)


    Format :

    Elektronische Ressource


    Sprache :

    Unbekannt




    Roads to nowhere: The accuracy of travel demand forecasts for do-nothing alternatives

    Nicolaisen, Morten Skou / Næss, Petter | Elsevier | 2014



    Modelling the demand for toll roads in the UK

    Wardman, M. / Whelan, G. / Hyman, G. | British Library Conference Proceedings | 2007


    Accuracy Analysis of TDRSS Demand Forecasts

    Stern, D. C. / Levine, A. J. / Pitt, K. J. et al. | British Library Conference Proceedings | 1994