This paper presents an improved headway-based holding strategy integrating bus transit travel and dwelling time prediction. A support vector machine-based (SVM) model is developed to predict the baseline travel and dwell times of buses based on recent data. In order to reduce prediction errors, an adaptive algorithm is used together with real-time bus operational information and estimated baseline times from SVM models. The objective of the improved holding strategy is to minimize the total waiting times of passengers at the current stop and at successive stops. Considering the time-varying features of bus running, a ‘forgetting factor’ is introduced to weight the most recent data and reduce the disturbance from unexpected incidents. Finally, the improved holding strategy proposed in this study is illustrated using the microscopic simulation model Paramics and some conclusions are drawn.


    Zugriff

    Zugriff prüfen

    Verfügbarkeit in meiner Bibliothek prüfen

    Bestellung bei Subito €


    Exportieren, teilen und zitieren



    Titel :

    An improved headway-based holding strategy for bus transit


    Beteiligte:
    Yu, Bin (Autor:in) / Yao, Jin-bao (Autor:in) / Yang, Zhong-Zhen (Autor:in)

    Erschienen in:

    Erscheinungsdatum :

    2010-04-01


    Format / Umfang :

    13 pages




    Medientyp :

    Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)


    Format :

    Elektronische Ressource


    Sprache :

    Unbekannt







    Reversal Headway Analysis for Urban Railway Transit

    Zhang, Hai / Ni, Shaoquan / Xu, Changan et al. | Springer Verlag | 2018


    Reliability Improvement in Short Headway Transit Services

    van Oort, Niels / Wilson, Nigel H. M. / van Nes, Rob | Transportation Research Record | 2010