This thesis examines the geopolitical rivalry over control of the Caspian Sea basin natural gas resources and possible transportation routes among four world powers: Russia, the European Union, the United States, and China. The author assesses the risks posed by instability in the Caspian Sea states to the realization of proposed natural gas pipeline projects in the region. Russia's role and strategy as a key player in the Caspian Sea region is analyzed with a focus on its natural gas reserves and pipeline transportation system, which it is using not only for economic reasons but for political purpose to regain its lost status on the international scene. The study also evaluates the impact of individual states' conflicts of interest on the choice of natural gas transportation routes to Europe. In analyzing the likelihood of conflict among the world's powers over the energy resources of the Caspian basin, the thesis answers the following questions: (1) What is the role of the Caspian Sea basin natural gas supply in the energy supplies' diversification of Europe; (2) How is Russia using its natural gas supplies and pipeline system to strengthen its influence in the world arena, and regain lost positions in former Soviet areas; and (3) How are interstate conflicts of interest likely to determine the diversification of energy supplies and the choice of natural gas transportation routes in Europe.


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