The potential loss of state stability in various parts of the world is a source of threat to U.S. national security. Every case is unique, but there are common processes. Accordingly, we develop a system dynamics model of state stability by representing the nature and dynamics of ‘ loads’ generated by insurgency activities, on the one hand, and by articulating the core features of state resilience and its ‘ capacity’ to withstand these ‘ loads’, on the other. The problem is to determine and ‘ predict’ when threats to stability override the resilience of the state and, more important, to anticipate propensities for ‘ tipping points’, namely conditions under which small changes in anti-regime activity can generate major disruptions. On this basis, we then identify appropriate actionable mitigation factors to decrease the likelihood of ‘ tipping’ and enhance prospects for stability.


    Zugriff

    Zugriff prüfen

    Verfügbarkeit in meiner Bibliothek prüfen

    Bestellung bei Subito €


    Exportieren, teilen und zitieren



    Titel :

    Understanding & Modeling State Stability: Exploiting System Dynamics


    Beteiligte:
    Choucri, N. (Autor:in) / Electris, C. (Autor:in) / Goldsmith, D. (Autor:in) / Mistree, D. (Autor:in) / Madnick, S.E. (Autor:in) / Morrison, J.B. (Autor:in) / Siegel, M.D. (Autor:in) / Sweitzer-Hamilton, M. (Autor:in)

    Erschienen in:

    Erscheinungsdatum :

    2006-01-01


    Format / Umfang :

    551220 byte




    Medientyp :

    Aufsatz (Konferenz)


    Format :

    Elektronische Ressource


    Sprache :

    Englisch



    Understanding and exploiting the Japanese manufacturing paradigm

    Hannam,R. / Univ.of Manchester,GB | Kraftfahrwesen | 1993


    Understanding and Exploiting the Japanese Manufacturing Paradigm

    Hannam, R. G. / ISATA / ENEA; Agency: Italy | British Library Conference Proceedings | 1993


    Exploiting temporal statistics for events analysis and understanding

    Micheloni, C. / Snidaro, L. / Foresti, G. L. | British Library Online Contents | 2009