HighlightsThe introduction of semi-automated vehicles poses a significant challenge to insurers.Bayesian Network statistical risk estimation approach is proposed.The approach is demonstrated using telematics data generated by the vehicle.Technology development requires greater collaboration between insurance manufacturers.
AbstractAll developed economies mandate at least third party auto insurance resulting inW a vast global liability industry. The evolution towards semi-autonomous and eventually driverless vehicles will progressively remove the leading cause of vehicle accidents, human error, and significantly lower vehicle accident rates. However, this transition will force a departure from existing actuarial methods requires careful management to ensure risks are correctly assigned. Personal motor insurance lines are anticipated to diminish as liability shifts towards OEMs, tier 1 and 2 suppliers and software developers. Vehicle accident risks will hinge on vehicular characteristics in addition to driver related risks as drivers alternate between autonomous and manual driving modes. This paper proposes a Bayesian Network statistical risk estimation approach that can accommodate changing risk levels and the emergence of new risk structures. We demonstrate the use of this method for a Level 3 semi-autonomous vehicle for two scenarios, one where the driver is in control and one where the vehicle is in control. This approach is especially suited to use telematics data generated from the vehicle inherent technologies. We validate the efficacy of this approach from the perspective of the insurer and discuss how vehicle technology development will require a greater degree of collaboration between the insurance company and the manufacturers in order to develop a greater understanding of the risks semi-autonomous and fully autonomous vehicles.
Semi-autonomous vehicle motor insurance: A Bayesian Network risk transfer approach
Tramsportation Research, Part C: Emerging Technologies ; 82 ; 124-137
2017-06-20
14 pages
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
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