Rational management of transport has a major impact on the cost of the business. The starting point for this can be a forecast of demand for the products. This paper presents the process of planning of transportation of shipments based on the forecast of the orders. The monthly quantity of shipments during the 36 months was analysed. A periodic variation of this quantity was observed. The forecast for the next two months was determined using a triple exponential smoothing method. Parameters of the method were determined analytically and using artificial immune systems. In the latter case the smoothing constant and the initial values of the model were determined by optimizing the root mean square error (RMSE) "ex-post". The results were subsequently compared. A smaller error was obtained using artificial immune systems. Then the demand for transport was calculated basing on the forecast quantity of shipments.
Planning of transportation's needs based on demand forecasts
2013
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Unbekannt
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