In this paper an architecture based on the anatomical structure of the emotional network in the brain of mammalians is applied as a prediction model for chaotic time series studies. The architecture is called BELRFS, which stands for: Brain Emotional Learning-based Recurrent Fuzzy System. It adopts neuro-fuzzy adaptive networksto mimic the functionality of brain emotional learning. In particular, the model is investigated to predict space storms, since the phenomenon has been recognized as a threat to critical infrastructure in modern society. To evaluate the performance of BELRFS, three benchmark time series: Lorenz time series, sunspot number time series and Auroral Electrojet (AE) index. The obtained results of BELRFS are compared with Linear Neuro-Fuzzy (LNF) with the Locally Linear Model Tree algorithm (LoLiMoT). The results indicate that the suggested model outperforms most of data driven models in terms of prediction accuracy. Copyright © 2013 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd. ; Special Issue on Innovations of Intelligent Systems and Engineering; This paper is a revised and expanded version of a paper entitled ‘Neuro-fuzzy models, BELRFS and LoLiMoT, for prediction of chaotic time series’ presented at the INISTA’12, Trabzon, 2–4 July, 2012.


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    Titel :

    Chaotic Time Series Prediction Using Brain Emotional Learning Based Recurrent Fuzzy System (BELRFS)


    Beteiligte:

    Erscheinungsdatum :

    2013-01-01


    Anmerkungen:

    Scopus 2-s2.0-84892145721



    Medientyp :

    Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)


    Format :

    Elektronische Ressource


    Sprache :

    Englisch



    Klassifikation :

    DDC:    629



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